Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 133.106802 151.792919 172.493353 197.182661 225.901568 258.341219 297.881705
2025-12-21 107.623341 132.153052 161.671550 200.032882 248.891551 309.468593 390.925454
2025-12-28 94.982551 122.993152 158.781526 208.323772 275.853112 365.729566 496.154444
2026-01-04 84.837236 114.598061 154.490952 212.617759 296.388714 414.657363 597.703246
2026-01-11 75.267768 105.293980 147.182646 210.905796 307.198176 450.219802 684.357241
2026-01-18 69.532603 100.418354 145.107794 215.848571 327.565539 501.604317 802.152897
2026-01-25 63.432900 94.182922 140.117614 215.420945 339.095459 540.181673 904.671168
2026-02-01 58.918816 89.763152 137.230424 217.650899 354.725087 586.895935 1027.876841
2026-02-08 53.699181 83.667305 131.001470 213.554116 358.969349 614.426283 1120.540311
2026-02-15 50.327656 80.160170 128.502617 215.269695 373.208445 661.035160 1256.206540
2026-02-22 47.454960 77.171634 126.508134 217.514380 388.464525 711.238517 1407.088725
2026-03-01 43.594905 72.164824 120.593615 212.056447 388.616463 732.454545 1501.430207
2026-03-08 40.242550 68.026562 116.296137 210.052537 397.051137 775.055318 1659.043503
2026-03-15 37.889246 65.457232 114.594316 212.883792 415.799013 842.568570 1889.617855
2026-03-22 36.591939 64.636320 115.952180 221.760791 448.162135 944.517425 2225.689705
2026-03-29 34.864964 62.836183 115.252432 226.365862 472.078122 1031.915582 2547.323887
2026-04-05 32.558851 59.715325 111.674270 224.529362 481.458562 1087.253655 2798.635606
2026-04-12 31.251452 58.391365 111.480948 229.831875 507.844766 1188.161029 3202.098635
2026-04-19 29.469926 55.966264 108.815735 229.373084 520.566798 1257.243643 3532.231159
2026-04-26 28.117685 54.280244 107.499277 231.765637 540.567038 1348.942279 3957.203565
2026-05-03 26.272060 51.425250 103.450841 227.370296 542.896134 1393.569424 4244.967902
2026-05-10 25.113160 49.902457 102.114113 229.210814 561.601105 1487.423521 4725.552469
2026-05-17 24.086290 48.571295 101.066839 231.619158 582.205573 1590.921164 5273.051691